Indian Stock Market Prediction Next Week- 27th Jan to 1st Feb 2025: The Indian stock market fell on January 24, 2025, marking the third straight week of losses. The markets declined due to worries about possible disruptions in global trade caused by the policies of newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump. The markets were also affected by slower economic growth in India, mixed corporate earnings, and ongoing selling by foreign investors.
However, the positive global cues kept the downside checked during the week. The coming week will be full of actions both on the international and the domestic front. The Fed’s and ECB’s interest rate decisions on the global front, while the Union Budget and Q3 earnings will keep traders busy in the upcoming week.
The key factors that are likely to impact the domestic stock market prediction are given below:
Quarterly Results
Last week, a stock-specific action was seen in the Indian equity markets after the announcement of Q3 earnings. HDFC Bank, Kotak Bank, Wipro, HUL, and Tech Mahindra gained after the third quarterly results announcement. The shares of Dr. Reddy, BPCL, and SBI Life declined after the Q3 earnings announcement.
In the upcoming week, more Nifty index companies will be announcing their quarterly results. These companies are
| Q3 Earnings of Nifty50 Stocks | |
| 27th Jan 2025 | Coal India |
| Tata Steel | |
| 28th Jan 2025 | Bajaj-Auto |
| Cipla | |
| 29th Jan 2025 | Bajaj-Finance |
| Maruti | |
| TataMotors | |
| 30th Jan 2025 | Adani Enterprise |
| Adani Ports | |
| Bajaj Finserve | |
| L&T | |
| 31st Jan 2025 | IndusInd Bank |
| NESTLE Ind | |
| ONGC | |
| Sun Pharma | |
Union Budget 2025
The Indian stock market is getting ready for the Union Budget 2025 next week. The Union Budget will be presented on Saturday, February 1, 2025. To mark this event special, both the BSE and NSE will have a live trading session on Feb 1, 2025. This will be Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s eighth Budget presentation, and investors are eagerly waiting for it.
The Budget is expected to reveal important economic policies and allocate funds to different sectors, with infrastructure, manufacturing, and technology likely to see big changes. With rising living costs and slower economic growth, people are hoping for some relief, particularly in the form of reduced income taxes.
Many experts believe that cutting taxes could help boost consumer spending and support the economy. The market’s performance on February 1 will largely depend on how investors react to the announcements.
Global Stock Market Events
Traders will have a close eye on the US Fed’s interest rate decision on Thursday, January 30, 2025. Most Fed officials believe inflation risks have increased due to stronger-than-expected inflation data and potential changes in trade and immigration policies, according to December 2024 meeting minutes. Europen Central Bank (ECB) will also announce the interest rate decision on the same day.
US Q4 GDP growth data will also be released on January 30. In Q3 2024, the economy grew 3.1% annually, beating earlier estimates of 2.8% and Q2’s 3% growth—the fastest growth this year.
China’s January Manufacturing PMI will be published on Monday, January 27, 2025. December 2024’s PMI fell to 50.1 from November’s 50.3, missing expectations but still marking three straight months of manufacturing growth, helped by recent government stimulus.
Japan’s Consumer Confidence Index for January is due Wednesday, January 29, 2025. In December, the index dropped to 36.2 from 36.4 in November, below the forecast of 36.6. The detailed schedule of the global stock market event for the next week is given below
| Global Stock Market Events | ||
| Date | Global Events & Data | Countries |
| 27th Jan 2025 | NBS Manug & Non Manufg PMI | China |
| Industrial Profit YoY Dec | China | |
| New Home Sales Dec | US | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Jan | US | |
| 28th Jan 2025 | Durable Goods Order Dec | US |
| CB Consumer Confidence Jan | US | |
| 29th Jan 2025 | Inflation Rate Q4 | Aus |
| Consumer Confidence Jan | Japan | |
| Goods Trade Balance Dec | US | |
| Retail and Wholesale Invesntories Dec | US | |
| 30th Jan 2025 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | US |
| BoE Consumer Credit | GB | |
| Unemployment Rate Dec | EA | |
| Economic Sentiments Jan | EA | |
| Retail and Wholesale Inventories Dec | EA | |
| GDP Growth Rate Q4 | US | |
| 31st Jan 2025 | Unemployment Rate Dec | Japan |
| Tokyo Core Inflation Jan | Japan | |
| Industrial Production Dec | Japan | |
| Retail Sales | Japan | |
| Core PCE Price Index Dec | US | |
FIIs and DIIs Investment
The continued selling pressure from foreign investors (FIIs) will remain in focus next week. FIIs have been selling in all five trading sessions last week, while DIIs were the buyers in the Indian stocks. FIIs offloaded shares worth Rs 22504 Cr, while the DIIs purchased Rs 17,577 Cr shares in the Indian markets.
Crude Oil Prices
Crude Oil prices closed marginally higher on Friday, supported by stronger-than-expected economic data from China. However, crude benchmarks ended lower during the week, as President Donald Trump urged lower crude prices and increased US energy production. In the coming week crude will remain in focus, and traders should closely monitor the crude oil prices.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the Indian stock market is navigating through a mix of challenges and opportunities. While concerns over global trade disruptions, mixed Q3 earnings, and continued foreign investor selling pressure have weighed on sentiment, upcoming events like the Union Budget, Q3 earnings, and key global announcements hold the potential to influence market trends. Investors should stay alert to both domestic and international developments in the week ahead, as these factors will play a crucial role in shaping market direction.
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